The Graveyard / MACD
FamilyMACD line, signal or histogram turns.
tested here
13
survived the screen
0
our lab studies
2
The idea
MACD line, signal or histogram turns mark momentum shifts.
Why it feels right
It is a smoothed difference of averages: it looks early because it is smooth, not because it knows anything.
What the data said
Tested inside the moving-average family (it is one): the same distance artefact, the same result after costs. Autopsies of MACD videos in the library run 0 for the count on the right.
The toll (spread, commission, slippage, financing) is the biggest lever we have ever measured: lowering it from 2 to 0.55 basis points changed a strategy's result by more than any rule change. An edge that only exists below real costs is not an edge, and most intraday videos sit in that gap: positive gross, negative net.
Crosses, flips and zones are found by looking back from a move. The ones in the middle of nothing are as common and never shown. Backtesting counts both.
Each row is a full autopsy: the exact rules, every trade, every control. Click one.
* dollars made or lost per trade on a $10,000 position, after trading costs. Green = a profit that passed our checks. Black = a profit we could not tell from luck. Grey = too few trades to trust.
Seen a video that says this one works? Run the autopsy.