The Graveyard / RSI / oscillator
FamilyOverbought and oversold readings, or an oscillator as the trigger.
tested here
4
survived the screen
0
our lab studies
3
The idea
Overbought and oversold readings of an oscillator call turns.
Why it feels right
A bounded line at an extreme looks like a spring.
What the data said
As an intraday signal, inside the over-extension screen: 0 survivors after costs. The only residue in the whole class is a daily RSI extreme with a weak signal, far from any video's claim.
The toll (spread, commission, slippage, financing) is the biggest lever we have ever measured: lowering it from 2 to 0.55 basis points changed a strategy's result by more than any rule change. An edge that only exists below real costs is not an edge, and most intraday videos sit in that gap: positive gross, negative net.
Stacking filters cannot beat the square root of their summed strength, and every added filter costs a multiple-testing haircut. 888 combinations of over-extension detectors could not clear the toll together any more than alone.
Each row is a full autopsy: the exact rules, every trade, every control. Click one.
| result | video | market | winning trades: claimed → real | $ per trade* | trades | account |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOSES MONEY | Gold XAUUSD Scalping using only RSI #gold #xauusd #forex #trade #trad...MarksmanFX | XAUUSD | none→63% | −$5.81 | 4,776 | |
| DOESN'T WORK | ADVANCED CCI Indicator Strategy Best Settings for Winning Trades | Crypto Trading | AlertTrading Chart Analysis | EURUSD | none→33% | −$5.19 | 290 | |
| LOSES MONEY | RSI Divergence (GOLD) Trading StrategyThe Moving Average | XAUUSD | 80%→42% | −$4.29 | 3,736 | |
| LOSES MONEY | THIS Strategy From Larry Connors Will Blow Up Your Trading Account (+203% in 2 Weeks)Trading Strategy | BTCUSDT | none→49% | −$8.14 | 2,680 |
* dollars made or lost per trade on a $10,000 position, after trading costs. Green = a profit that passed our checks. Black = a profit we could not tell from luck. Grey = too few trades to trust.
Seen a video that says this one works? Run the autopsy.