95% Win Rate Trading Strategy | EMA + RSI + Bollinger Bands for Powerful Entries
Too few trades to tell
Only 37 trades in 17.5 years: too few to tell
- trades tested
- 37
- per trade after costs
- -4.35bp
- winners
- 46%
- years of data
- 17.5
A trend-following strategy using EMA 200 for direction, EMA 21/50/100 crosses for momentum, and RSI/Bollinger Band confluences for entry timing.
The exact rules we tested
- 01Instrument: XAUUSD | Signal timeframe: 1h | Direction: both
- 02LONG sequence: 1. (ema21 crosses above ema50) OR (ema21 crosses above ema100) THEN 2. rsi14 crosses above 25 (within 100 bars) THEN 3. close crosses above bb.mid (within 50 bars)
- 03SHORT sequence: 1. (ema21 crosses below ema50) OR (ema21 crosses below ema100) THEN 2. rsi14 crosses below 75 (within 100 bars) THEN 3. close crosses below bb.mid (within 50 bars)
- 04Long filter: close > ema200
- 05Short filter: close < ema200
- 06Entry: market at next bar open
- 07Stop: last swing (strength 3) +/- 0bp
- 08Target: 2.0R (risk-multiple of stop)
- 09Exit longs when: high >= bb.upper
- 10Exit shorts when: low <= bb.lower